Emotional Bids: The Gottman Concept That Predicts Divorce
John Gottman developed the concept of emotional bids after years of observing couples in his research lab in Seattle — not in therapy sessions or conflict simulations, but during ordinary daily interactions. What his team noticed was that partners were constantly making small, low-visibility attempts to connect: a comment about something outside the window, a question about something they'd read, a touch on the shoulder while passing. These micro-bids for attention, affirmation, or connection were not dramatic. They were easy to miss. And how partners responded to them turned out to be one of the strongest predictors of whether the relationship would still exist years later.
What a Bid Actually Is
An emotional bid is any attempt — verbal, physical, or behavioral — to connect with a partner. It can be as simple as saying "look at that" about a bird outside, or as substantial as disclosing something difficult about your day. The common feature is that it reaches toward the other person and invites some form of response. Gottman's research identified three possible responses to any bid: turning toward, turning away, and turning against. Turning toward means acknowledging and engaging with the bid, even minimally. Turning away means missing the bid entirely, or giving a response so minimal it registers as indifference. Turning against means responding with irritation, criticism, or dismissiveness. In his landmark study tracking couples over six years and comparing those who stayed together with those who divorced, Gottman found that couples who remained together had turned toward each other's bids approximately 86 percent of the time in an initial observation session. Couples who eventually divorced had turned toward each other only about 33 percent of the time. The couples who divorced were not necessarily fighting more. Many of them weren't fighting much at all. They were simply not connecting — bidding and missing, over and over, until the motivation to bid diminished and with it the emotional foundation of the relationship.
Why Turning Away Is More Dangerous Than Turning Against
This finding surprises most people. Turning against a bid — responding with irritation or contempt — is obviously damaging. But Gottman's data suggests that turning away, which can look like benign distraction or simple inattention, may be more corrosive over time precisely because it doesn't register as a conflict. There's nothing to address, no incident to reflect on or repair. There's just the slow accumulation of reaching out and not being met. The person who bids repeatedly and is repeatedly turned away doesn't typically make a dramatic declaration. They gradually stop bidding. They invest their emotional energy elsewhere. The relationship continues to exist as a functional unit while the emotional connection quietly drains. By the time this becomes visible enough to name, it has often been happening for years.
Bids in Difficult Moments
Bids don't only happen in easy moments. In fact, some of the most important bids occur during moments of stress, conflict, or vulnerability — and those are precisely the moments when partners are least likely to recognize them as bids and most likely to turn away or against. When one partner is irritable after a hard day and snaps about something minor, that is not just an irritable comment. It is often also a bid — an expression of overwhelm looking for some acknowledgment. The partner who responds to the irritability rather than the distress underneath it has turned away from the actual bid. The partner who says "you seem like you had a really hard day — what happened?" has turned toward it. This requires a degree of generosity that is harder to sustain when you're also tired or stressed. But the research is consistent: couples who develop the habit of looking for the bid underneath the behavior tend to navigate difficult periods with significantly less relational damage than those who respond only to surface content.
Building the Habit
The clinical application of bid theory is less about dramatic transformation than about incrementally raising your bid awareness. Practically, this means developing the habit of noticing when your partner reaches toward you — however subtly — and making a conscious choice about how to respond. Research from the University of California Berkeley on social responsiveness found that the quality most associated with partner satisfaction over time was not grand romantic gestures but felt responsiveness: the consistent sense that one's partner notices, considers, and responds to what matters to you. Emotional bids are the medium through which felt responsiveness is communicated or withheld in daily life. The couples who do this well are not necessarily doing anything that looks impressive from the outside. They are, with high frequency, simply showing up for each other's small moments — the throwaway comments, the passing observations, the minor vulnerabilities — in ways that add up, over years, to a relationship where both people feel genuinely seen.